Earnings

Analyzing CrowdStrike's (CRWD) Q4 Earnings Estimates Beyond Revenue and EPS

Published February 27, 2025

Analysts on Wall Street are projecting that CrowdStrike Holdings (CRWD) will reveal its quarterly earnings at $0.85 per share in its upcoming report. This figure indicates a year-over-year drop of 10.5%. Revenue is expected to reach $1.03 billion, showcasing a growth of 22.3% compared to the same quarter last year.

The consensus EPS (earnings per share) estimate for this quarter has not changed over the last 30 days, suggesting that analysts have collectively reassessed their previous estimates within this period.

Before the release of a company's earnings, it is crucial to take into account any adjustments made to the earnings projections. Such revisions are essential for predicting potential investor behaviors towards the stock. Studies consistently demonstrate a significant relationship between the trends in earnings estimate revisions and the stock's short-term performance.

While most investors typically utilize consensus earnings and revenue estimates as benchmarks for evaluating a company's quarterly results, examining analysts' predictions for some of the company’s core metrics provides a more rounded understanding.

Now, let’s explore the average estimates of several key metrics that Wall Street analysts often monitor and consider in their evaluations of CrowdStrike.

Revenue Growth Predictions

Analysts expect that the 'Revenue- Subscription' will reach approximately $986.78 million, reflecting a year-over-year increase of 24%. This strong growth indicates the rising demand for CrowdStrike's subscription services.

On the other hand, 'Revenue- Professional services' is anticipated to amount to $46.14 million, which is a year-over-year decline of 6.6%. This reduction suggests possible challenges in CrowdStrike's professional service offerings.

Annual Recurring Revenue and Profits

In terms of 'Annual recurring revenue (ARR)', analysts project that it will hit $4,201,702, significantly up from last year's figure of $3,440,000. This suggests a solid increase in regular revenue streams, which is crucial for the company's stability.

Gross Profit Estimates

The consensus estimate for 'Non-GAAP subscription gross profit' is set at $789.20 million, marking an increase from the $638.57 million reported in the same quarter last year. This indicates improved profitability in their subscription segment.

However, for 'Non-GAAP professional services gross profit', the consensus stands at $15.44 million, down from the $22.61 million achieved in the previous year. This decline underscores challenges in this area of business.

Finally, analysts predict that the 'GAAP professional services gross profit' will reach around $7.70 million, a significant drop from the $16.33 million reported in the same quarter last year. This discrepancy highlights ongoing difficulties that may need addressing.

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