Earnings

Q1 Earnings Estimate for Green Plains Issued By Roth Capital

Published February 12, 2025

Green Plains Inc. (NASDAQ:GPRE - Free Report) recently received an update from Roth Capital regarding its Q1 2025 earnings estimates. In a research note released on Monday, February 10th, Roth Capital analyst C. Irwin adjusted the company's expected earnings per share to ($0.30), a decrease from the prior estimate of ($0.10).

The current consensus estimate for Green Plains' total earnings for the full year stands at ($1.02) per share. In addition to Q1, Roth Capital has provided projections for the company's subsequent quarters, predicting Q2 2025 earnings of ($0.15) EPS, followed by Q3 2025 earnings of $0.20 EPS, and a full-year forecast for FY2025 of $0.10 EPS.

On February 7th, Green Plains announced its earnings results, reporting ($0.86) EPS for the quarter. This outcome was below analysts' expectations, which had anticipated a figure of ($0.22), indicating a miss of ($0.64). In the past year, the company had posted an EPS of $0.13 for the same quarter, reflecting a year-over-year decline.

Several other financial institutions have also recently revised their ratings and target prices for Green Plains. BMO Capital Markets has lowered its target price from $13.00 to $8.00 and labeled the stock as a "market perform." Similarly, StockNews.com has downgraded Green Plains from a "hold" to a "sell" rating. On the other hand, Truist Financial has adjusted their target price down from $25.00 to $18.00 while maintaining a "buy" rating on the stock. Additionally, Stephens recently upgraded Green Plains to a "hold" rating.

According to MarketBeat.com data, the stock has received varied ratings from different analysts, with one giving a sell rating, three issuing hold ratings, and five providing buy ratings. Overall, the average consensus rating for Green Plains is categorized as "Hold," with an average target price of $23.31.

Market Performance and Stock Analysis

As of Wednesday, shares of NASDAQ:GPRE opened at $6.20, down by 4.8%. The company's 50-day moving average is $9.57, and its 200-day moving average is $11.77. Over the past year, Green Plains has experienced a low of $6.10 and a high of $24.84. The company holds a market capitalization of $400.83 million, with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.46, a current ratio of 1.78, and a quick ratio of 1.16. Its P/E ratio stands at -16.32, showing a challenging earnings environment.

Investments by Hedge Funds

Green Plains has seen considerable activity from hedge funds recently. Barclays PLC has increased its ownership stake by 71.5% during the third quarter, acquiring an additional 59,564 shares, bringing their total to 142,851 shares valued at approximately $1,935,000. Charles Schwab Investment Management Inc. also raised its holdings by 16.0%, adding 159,147 shares for a total of 1,150,738 shares valued at $15,581,000.

Other hedge funds have also made notable investments, including Paloma Partners Management Co and Assenagon Asset Management S.A., which increased their stakes significantly in Green Plains.

Company Overview

Green Plains Inc. engages in the production of low-carbon fuels both in the United States and internationally. The company operates through various segments including Ethanol Production, Agribusiness, Energy Services, and Partnerships. Within the Ethanol Production segment, Green Plains manufactures ethanol, distillers grains, and renewable corn oil.

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