Stocks

Understanding Broadcom Inc. (AVGO) and Its Growing Investor Interest

Published October 26, 2024

Broadcom Inc. (AVGO) has been generating significant attention among investors lately. It's important to consider various factors that might impact the stock's future performance.

The shares of this prominent chipmaker have declined by 3.8% over the last month, while the Zacks S&P 500 composite saw a gain of 1.4%. The broader Zacks Electronics - Semiconductors industry, which includes Broadcom, experienced a decrease of 1.6% during this same period. This raises the question: What does the future hold for the stock?

While news releases or rumors about major shifts in a company's business can make a stock trend and lead to quick price changes, it is the fundamental metrics that will ultimately influence long-term investment decisions.

Earnings Estimate Revisions

At the core of evaluating a stock, earnings estimates carry significant weight. These projections are critical because the fair value of a stock is believed to be determined by the present value of its future earnings. Observations are made on how analysts covering the stock are altering their earnings projections in light of recent business trends. An upward revision in earnings estimates usually results in an increased fair value of the stock, attracting more investors and likely pushing the price upward. Historical data supports a strong connection between earnings estimate trends and stock price movements.

For Broadcom Inc., the expected earnings for the current quarter are projected at $1.39 per share, reflecting a year-over-year increase of 25.2%. Over the past month, the Zacks Consensus Estimate for this quarter has risen by 0.3%.

The estimate for earnings in the current fiscal year stands at $4.82 per share, which represents a change of 14% compared to the previous year. This estimate has also seen a slight increase of 0.1% in the last 30 days.

Looking ahead, the consensus estimate for the next fiscal year is $6.13, indicating a noteworthy growth of 27.1% year-over-year. This figure has been upwardly revised by 0.6% recently.

The Zacks Rank system, which evaluates stocks based on earnings revisions among other factors, gives Broadcom Inc. a solid ranking of #2 (Buy). This suggests favorable conditions for broad performance in the near term regarding the stock.

Projected Revenue Growth

Revenue growth is equally essential to assess. A consistent increase in revenue is vital for sustainable earnings growth. For Broadcom Inc., the consensus revenue estimate for the current quarter is set at $14.06 billion, representing a significant increase of 51.3% on a year-over-year basis. The estimates for the current and next fiscal years show encouraging signs as well, with revenues projected at $51.58 billion and $60.19 billion, reflecting growth rates of 44% and 16.7%, respectively.

Recent Results and Surprise History

The company reported revenues of $13.07 billion in its most recent quarter, marking an impressive year-over-year increase of 47.3%. Its earnings per share (EPS) for this period stood at $1.24, an increase compared to the $1.05 recorded the previous year.

When compared to the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $12.9 billion in revenue, Broadcom exceeded expectations by 1.31%, and it also surpassed EPS estimates by 3.33%. Notably, the company has consistently beaten EPS and revenue estimates over the trailing four quarters.

Valuation Insights

Evaluating a stock’s valuation is imperative for making sound investment decisions. Understanding whether a stock is accurately priced in relation to its forecasted growth is essential. Utilizing valuation multiples like price-to-earnings (P/E), price-to-sales (P/S), and price-to-cash flow (P/CF) can help assess relative value against historical trends and peers.

The Zacks Value Style Score assesses whether stocks are undervalued, overvalued, or fairly valued, with grades ranging from A to F. Currently, Broadcom Inc. holds an F grade in this system, indicating that its valuation is high relative to peers. Additional insight on the valuation metrics driving this grade is available.

Conclusion

The various data points and insights discussed here can assist potential investors in grasping the dynamics of Broadcom Inc. The stock holds a Zacks Rank of #2, suggesting that it could perform better than the broader market in the coming days.

Broadcom, Investing, Stocks