Stocks

Unpacking the Latest Options Trading Trends in Taiwan Semiconductor (NYSE:TSM)

Published October 23, 2024

Recently, significant investors, often referred to as "whales," have shown a bearish outlook on Taiwan Semiconductor. They appear to be acting cautiously in the options trading market, suggesting that they expect the stock price may not perform well in the near future.

A review of the options trading activity reveals that there were 59 trades related to Taiwan Semiconductor's options. Among these transactions, 42% of the trades were initiated with bullish expectations, while 44% were on the bearish side. This data indicates a divided sentiment among traders regarding the future performance of Taiwan Semiconductor.

Of the total trades observed, 11 were put options, amounting to $690,119, while the calls comprised 48 trades totaling $2,866,123. The disparity in the number of calls versus puts may hint that investors are more interested in taking positions that could capitalize on upward price movements, even if their general sentiment is cautious.

Expected Price Movements

The trading behavior of these whales suggests that they are targeting a price range for Taiwan Semiconductor between $130.00 and $310.00 over the past three months. This broad range indicates a significant level of uncertainty about the direction the stock price may take.

Volume & Open Interest Development

Examining volume and open interest is essential for understanding a stock's options market. These metrics provide insights into the liquidity and interest surrounding Taiwan Semiconductor's options at various strike prices.

Over the last 30 days, we can analyze the fluctuations in volume and open interest for both calls and puts within the strike price range of $130.00 to $310.00. This analysis is crucial for traders looking to gauge market sentiment and the potential for future price movements.

Taiwan Semiconductor 30-Day Option Volume & Interest Snapshot

As the options market evolves, various significant trades have been observed. Understanding these trades can give a clearer picture of investor sentiment.

Largest Options Trades Observed:

Symbol PUT/CALL Trade Type Sentiment Exp. Date Ask Bid Price Strike Price Total Trade Price Open Interest Volume
TSM CALL SWEEP NEUTRAL 02/21/25 $22.9 $22.75 $22.9 $195.00 $228.9K 76.9K 116
TSM CALL TRADE BEARISH 02/21/25 $22.65 $22.45 $22.45 $195.00 $222.2K 76.9K 280
TSM PUT TRADE BULLISH 09/19/25 $12.75 $12.5 $12.5 $170.00 $216.2K 91 174
TSM CALL TRADE BEARISH 01/17/25 $16.65 $16.45 $16.51 $200.00 $165.1K 16.0K 1.2K
TSM CALL SWEEP BULLISH 11/01/24 $3.55 $3.4 $3.55 $205.00 $106.5K 1.3K 3.4K

About Taiwan Semiconductor

Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co., known as TSMC, is the largest dedicated chip foundry globally, commanding over 60% of the market share. Founded in 1987 as a collaboration involving Philips and the Taiwanese government, TSM went public as an ADR in the United States in 1997. The company's size and commitment to high-quality technology allow it to achieve strong operating margins in a competitive foundry environment. The shift towards a fabless business model has been advantageous for TSMC, which boasts a prestigious client list, including giants like Apple, AMD, and Nvidia, who rely on its cutting-edge process technologies for their semiconductor designs. Today, TSMC employs over 73,000 individuals.

As we analyze the options trading trends surrounding Taiwan Semiconductor, we also need to assess the company's current standing and performance in the market.

Taiwan Semiconductor's Current Market Status

  • TSM has a trading volume of 10,431,093, and its price has increased by 0.98%, standing at $200.43.
  • Current Relative Strength Index (RSI) metrics suggest that the stock could be nearing overbought territory.
  • The next earnings report is expected in 85 days.

What Analysts Are Saying About Taiwan Semiconductor

Three market analysts have recently provided ratings for TSM, with a consensus price target set at around $216.67.

Unusual Options Activity Detected: Smart Money on the Move

Monitoring unusual options activity can offer insights into potential market shifts. Notably, an analyst from Needham has retained a Buy rating for Taiwan Semiconductor, setting a price target at $225. Another from the same firm adjusted their stance to a Buy rating with a target of $210. Meanwhile, an analyst at Barclays continues to maintain an Overweight rating with a target price of $215.

It is important to note that options trading carries inherent risks along with opportunities for profit. Experienced traders navigate these complexities by educating themselves continuously, adapting strategies, tracking various indicators, and closely observing market trends. Staying updated on the latest options trades for Taiwan Semiconductor can prove vital for informed decision-making.

Taiwan, Semiconductor, Options