Companies

Super Micro Lost Market Share In 2024 - Nvidia May Have Moved On

Published February 9, 2025

Super Micro Computer, known for its AI server technology, has seen a decline in its market presence as 2024 unfolds. The company faced significant competitive pressures, resulting in a loss of approximately 300 basis points in market share. One of the key factors contributing to this shift is Nvidia's changing partnership dynamics. Nvidia, a major player in GPU manufacturing, appears to be increasingly favoring Foxconn, which has implications for Super Micro's future prospects.

In addition to competitive challenges, Super Micro is grappling with serious financial concerns. Several banks have recently terminated their credit agreements with the company, signaling a lack of confidence from financial institutions. This could lead to shareholder dilution through Private Investment in Public Equities (PIPEs), which would further weaken Super Micro’s financial standing.

Market Expectations

Current market projections regarding Super Micro's performance appear overly optimistic. Analysts have not fully accounted for the company’s recent loss of market share and the intensified competition it faces. As a result, a Sell rating has been reiterated for the stock, indicating cautious sentiment among investors.

Looking ahead, the upcoming business update from Super Micro is not expected to yield significantly positive news. Forecasts suggest that both revenue and earnings per share (EPS) could decline, raising concerns about the company’s ability to recover. Furthermore, potential additional share dilution could hinder any recovery efforts.

Conclusion

The current situation for Super Micro indicates a challenging landscape as it navigates losing market share and financial instability. With Nvidia potentially moving on to other partnerships, Super Micro's position in the market is uncertain. Investors should remain vigilant in monitoring developments as the outlook for 2024 becomes clearer.

SuperMicro, Nvidia, MarketShare