Companies

Norwegian Cruise Line Positioned for Growth Amid Consumer Spending Renewal

Published December 13, 2024

Barclays analyst Brandt Montour has provided insights suggesting that the recovered consumer spending and lower tariff exposure will positively impact the travel and experiences sectors leading into 2025.

The cruise industry is viewed as having substantial growth potential, prompting a reassessment of ratings for various cruise and timeshare companies.

As a result, Montour has upgraded Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. NCLH from Equal-Weight to Overweight, raising the price target from $28 to $32.

The reasoning behind this upgrade includes Norwegian Cruise Line's higher beta in a recovering economic environment, its significant exposure to cross-Atlantic travel, and unique multi-year cost-saving opportunities within the cruise sector.

Strong Demand for Future Sailings

In this recovering economic landscape, proprietary pricing data indicates robust demand for European and Alaska sailings in 2025.

Montour elaborates that Norwegian Cruise Line's multi-year cost savings initiative could promote earnings growth and enhance the company’s balance sheet. He also asserts that concerns regarding pricing power in an increasingly balanced cruise market are minimal, largely due to the ongoing value of cruises in comparison to other vacation options.

Long-term Prospects Despite Short-term Challenges

Although there are some short-term challenges facing the industry, Montour views Norwegian Cruise Line as an attractive option for long-term investors, highlighting its solid future potential.

Moreover, he points out that considering the estimates for 2026, the company appears to be particularly undervalued when compared to its peers.

Price Action: As of the most recent check, NCLH shares were trading down 0.62% at $26.65.

Norwegian, Cruise, Travel