Earnings

Investor Sentiment Remains Low Despite Strong Earnings from IT Giants

Published November 29, 2024

The earnings season in the US is wrapping up, revealing favorable results for many companies in the S&P 500 index. Once again, technology companies emerged as the frontrunners in terms of performance. However, despite these positive outcomes, investors seem to be more cautious and demanding than in previous years. Any misstep in results or even meeting expectations may trigger sell-offs in stock prices.

The Mixed Reactions to Tech Earnings

This past Wednesday, Dell, HP, and Crowdstrike announced strong financial results. Nonetheless, the market reaction was tepid, with Dell’s stock price dropping by 12%, HP falling over 11%, and Crowdstrike decreasing nearly 5%. The overall performance of the S&P 500 Information Technology Sector fell by only 1.19% on the same day. The underlying issue lies in that each of these companies had missed certain expectations—be it Dell’s revenue target, HP’s profit per share, or Crowdstrike’s forecasts for the next quarter.

Understanding the Market Dynamics

When looking at the larger picture, S&P 500 companies showcased an average revenue growth of 5.3% this quarter. The technology sector notably outperformed, reporting a growth rate of 13.3%. Earnings growth was measured at 8.9% overall, while the technology sector achieved an impressive 19% growth rate. This scenario highlights a reality where high valuations lead to heightened expectations; any signs of slowed growth—even if the earnings appear commendable—can lead to investor discontent and market sell-offs.

Throughout this year, many tech companies have enjoyed solid growth. For instance, Dell's stock has surged by 85%, HP has risen by 30%, and Crowdstrike stands at a 43% increase. In total, the information technology sector has grown by 33% year-to-date, making it a popular choice among investors. According to a recent survey, technology remains the sector most investors intend to increase their allocations to, both globally and specifically in Romania. For these investors, the current corrections in stock prices may present opportunities to invest at more attractive levels.

Crowdstrike’s Resilience Despite Setbacks

One striking aspect of the earnings reports came from Crowdstrike, which faced serious challenges last summer due to a major IT outage that led to an estimated $5 billion in losses for its customers. Despite the implications of this incident, which caused disruptions globally, Crowdstrike managed to report solid results for the third quarter. Remarkably, the company maintained a 97% gross retention rate for its customers, and its revenue rose by 29% year-over-year. Their annual recurring revenue exceeded expectations, and earnings per share were notably higher than anticipated, indicating that the outage's negative impact was less severe than some had forecasted. However, the company is now dealing with a lawsuit from Delta Airlines related to claims of $500 million in losses.

The Bigger Picture for Investors

What stands out is how crucial Crowdstrike's platform is for many businesses, making it challenging to switch providers for cybersecurity solutions. Despite slightly disappointing guidance for the next quarter, with earnings forecasts falling just short of estimates, Crowdstrike’s long-term outlook appears more optimistic as projections for the full year 2025 surpassed Wall Street expectations. This could be viewed positively by long-term investors looking for stability and growth.

Investors, Earnings, Technology